Michigan State vs. Iowa Prediction, NCAAF Picks & Odds: Saturday, 9/30
The Iowa Hawkeyes’ first test of the season came and went in nightmarish fashion, losing 31-0 at #6-ranked Penn State last Saturday. But just like any nightmare, you get up and move on, and that’s exactly what head coach Kirk Ferentz and his team intend to do when they pivot to host Michigan State Saturday at 7:30 PM ET on NBC. The Hawkeyes’ offensive woes and crucial injuries mustn't be ignored, but thankfully, Iowa shouldn’t need a drastic improvement on offense to win this weekend.
With every Big Ten team at least one conference game into their schedule, our experts are set to deliver an official Michigan State vs. Iowa prediction with college football betting odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook. Keep reading for a complete analysis, plus learn how new users at DraftKings are eligible for a substantial two-part bonus totaling $350.
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MICHIGAN STATE VS. IOWA PREDICTION: Under 36.5 Total Points (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
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Michigan State Spartans vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Prediction: CFB This Week
In short, our expert Michigan State vs. Iowa prediction has the Hawkeyes earning a bounce-back win. Injuries aside, last weekend's performance was an embarrassment to a program that prides itself on playing tough and staying in the game for four quarters. With less than 100 total yards of offense and four turnovers, Iowa was unable to maintain its defensive prowess in the first half, surrendering three second-half touchdowns in front of a signature Penn State white-out crowd that featured over 110,000 fans.
The perfect remedy for putting an embarrassing loss behind you? Play an opponent who has struggled as much as Michigan State has the past couple of weeks. Michigan State fired head coach Mel Tucker for cause today concerning sexual assault allegations, and interim head coach Harlon Bennett, to no fault of his, has not been able to make up for the distraction or lack of talent on this roster to showcase a positive outlook for this team in his two games at the helm.
In fact, after handling two lowly non-conference opponents under Tucker the first two weeks, Michigan State has suffered back-to-back home losses against #7 Washington and Maryland by a combined margin of 56 points. With an offense that has been unable to move and take care of the ball, combined with a defense that isn’t ready for the likes of formidable offenses, Michigan State is in a disaster situation.
The Hawkeyes and their putrid offensive showing might be making some headlines, but Michigan State is in the midst of program turmoil. The reliable stability and consistency of this program, which often self-corrects after a road loss, will be a key ingredient for Iowa’s return to form and victory over Sparty. We like the Hawkeyes to win this one, but for the best bet from our Michigan State vs. Iowa prediction, read on.
Michigan State vs. Iowa Picks & CFB Best Bets for Saturday Including Under 36.5 Total Points
We believe Iowa’s line as 12.5-point favorites on the point spread is undeserved considering the team was blanked last week and because they sit just 2-2 ATS this season. And, with DraftKings money line odds sitting at -500, there is little to no value in that market.
Where there is value, however, is on the point total, specifically Under 36.5 Total Points (-110 at DraftKings). We already mentioned Michigan State has lost by a combined 56 points their last two home games, but to put that into context for our best bet, they scored a combined 16 points in that game.
As Iowa continues to deal with significant injuries to their running game with Kaleb Johnson and Jaziun Patterson remaining sidelined this weekend, we cannot count on this offense being dynamic or nearly productive enough to warrant a bet on the over. This will arguably be the best defense Michigan State has played, and they weren’t even capable of reaching double digits against their last two opponents at home.
Iowa will be hungry after last week’s defeat, so Ferentz and Co. could return the shutout favor against Sparty. Look for preseason All-American defensive back Cooper DeJean, a player who had five interceptions and three returned for touchdown last season, to be a ball hawk on Saturday and create offense from his side of the ball.
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Latest Michigan State vs. Iowa Betting Lines, Odds & Spread for 9/30 Courtesy of DraftKings
We’ve already provided some of DraftKings’ odds for this game throughout, but for a clear overview, here are the main markets for Saturday night’s game:
- Money Line: Michigan State (+380) vs. Iowa (-500)
- Point Spread: Michigan State +12.5 (-110) vs. Iowa -12.5 (-110)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 36.5 (-110) / Under 36.5 (-110)
A bet tailing our Michigan State vs. Iowa prediction, on Under 36.5 Total Points (-110 at DraftKings) means an $110 bet is needed in order to profit $100. To be successful, The two teams need to combine for 36 points or less. Considering Iowa’s zero points last week, Michigan State’s 16 points over the last two weeks, we feel confident in our expert pick.
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Iowa vs. Penn State Score From Last Week
Iowa, which was ranked #25 in the nation last week, lost at then #7-ranked Penn State, 31-0.
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